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Model updated: 12 Sept 2026
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Liverpool

Financials · 2026/27 spending-room estimate

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Below GreenFinancial forecast

Football income

The squad-cost ratio depends on football income, so PSRwatch starts from the latest filed accounts for domestic income, removes any European income inside that base year, adds this season's UEFA distributions where the club is in Europe, and adds net profit on player sales as the League's rolling three-year average.

Latest filed revenue
£703m

2024/25

Football income
£908m

£853m low / £962m high

How this is calculated
domestic £767m (matchday £138m + broadcasting £360m + commercial £268m) + UEFA distributions £70m + player-sale profit (3-year average) £71m = £908m

The denominator of the squad-cost test: this season's forecast football revenue plus the League's three-year average of net profit on player sales.

  • Matchday£138m · 15%
  • Broadcasting£360m · 40%
  • Commercial£268m · 30%
  • UEFA distributions£70m · 8%
  • Player-sale profit (3-year average)£71m · 8%

Broadcasting is 40% of the base, and UEFA distributions add £70m that only counts while the club is in Europe. Player-sale profit contributes £71m as a three-year average, so one big sale lifts income by a third of its profit, not all of it.

This is a forecast, not filed revenue. The latest filed figure is £703m (2024/25); the sensitivity band is £853m to £962m. The matchday / broadcasting / commercial split uses a league-typical mix until the club's own accounts disclose one.

UEFA distributions
£70m

PSRwatch central estimate of this season's UEFA distributions. It adds to football income; the League's 85% / 115% lines stay the same.

Player-sale profit (3-year average)
£71m

From filed accounts where available and reported sale fees otherwise - undisclosed-fee estimates never count as income.

Latest actual revenue
£703m
Less Champions League income inside the 2024/25 base
(£81m)
Matchday forecast
£138m
Broadcasting forecast
£360m
Commercial forecast
£268m
Domestic football income
£767m
UEFA distributions (Champions League, PSRwatch estimate)
£70m
Player-sale profit (three-year average)
£71m
Football income
£908m

Latest filed revenue baseline: 2024/25.

Central forecast starts from the committed club forecast and splits domestic football income using a league-typical modelled mix (about 18% matchday / 47% broadcasting in the Premier League) - the club's own filed mix will be used once its accounts disclose one.

Premier League participation is included in the broadcasting and commercial mix.

About GBP 81m of Champions League income sat inside the 2024/25 accounts the forecast is grown from; it is removed before this season's European line is added.

Champions League participation in 2026/27 adds a separate UEFA income line (PSRwatch central estimate of GBP 70m of distributions) and brings UEFA's separate 70% squad-cost rule into play (the League's own 85% / 115% lines are unchanged).

Net profit on player sales counts as the League's rolling three-year average (one third of each of the last three seasons' profits), not this window's sales in full.

Low/high range is a deterministic +/-6% sensitivity around central football income.

Forecast domestic income already clears the applicable Premier League floors (income >= GBP 175m, broadcasting >= GBP 95m), so no uplift was needed.

Season view

ProjectionSquad-cost basis
Football income
£908m
Squad cost
£521m
Squad-cost ratio
57%
Room to Red Threshold
£523m
Below GreenCurrent PSRwatch view using public data.
2026/27 - Premier League squad-cost projection. This is the live view used across the rest of this page.
What does this mean?Forward-looking squad-cost estimate for 2026/27, built from public filings, reported transfer data, provider wage estimates and PSRwatch assumptions. Subject to transfer, wage, revenue and rule changes. These are unofficial PSRwatch estimates - final regulatory decisions sit with the leagues. Methodology

Financial forecast

Financial model built from filed accounts, sourced facts and labelled assumptions, with a forward income-statement forecast. Expand any line to see where the number comes from.

Model completeness 100%Forecast confidence lowReadiness Tier BReconciliation fullModel platform-v1.1
Revenue 2028/29F
£781.9m
Staff costs
£482.0m
Player amortisation
£150.1m
Pre-tax result
-£61.4m
Squad-cost ratio
-
2018/19AFiled accounts2019/20AFiled accounts2020/21AFiled accounts2021/22AFiled accounts2022/23AFiled accounts2023/24AFiled accounts2024/25AFiled accounts2025/26EPSRwatch estimate2026/27FPSRwatch forecast2027/28FPSRwatch forecast2028/29FPSRwatch forecast
What moves revenue from 2024/25A to 2028/29F
  • Matchday+£17.8m
  • Media & competition distributions+£12.8m
  • Commercial+£48.5m

Calculated from the model itself - the same numbers as the statement lines below, not separately maintained copy.

Income statement
Line (£m)2018/19A2019/20A2020/21A2021/22A2022/23A2023/24A2024/25A2025/26E2026/27F2027/28F2028/29F
Total revenue
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationTotal revenue£781.9m
= matchday + media + commercial
CalculationMatchday revenue 2028/29£133.4m
= (61276 seats × 98.5% utilisation) × (19 league + 2 domestic cup + 5 European home games) × £85 per attendee ÷ 1,000,000
FactStadium capacity 2028/29: 61276 seats (official, very-high)61,276 seats
AssumptionAttendance utilisation 98.5%98.5%
Assumption19 home league matches19 matches
Assumption2 domestic cup home matches2 matches
Assumption5 European home matches5 matches
AssumptionBlended matchday yield £85 per attendee85 GBP
CalculationMedia / broadcasting revenue£276.5m
= domestic league central distribution + UEFA distributions + domestic cup prize money
CalculationPremier League central distribution£194.0m
= pl_total 2028/29 resolved directly: 194
AssumptionPremier League central distribution £194m£194.0m
AssumptionUEFA distribution £82m£82.0m
AssumptionDomestic cup prize money £0.5m£0.5m
CalculationCommercial revenue fy2029: 1 contracted deals + other commercial base + 2 assumed renewal(s) replacing expired agreements (5 active deal(s) with unreported value excluded)£372.0m
= Σ guaranteed annual values of 1 active deals (£60.0m) + assumed renewals (£81.0m) + other commercial base £231.0m
Contractadidas (kit-manufacturer)£60.0m
ContractAXA (training-ground) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractCarlsberg (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractUPS (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractGoogle Pixel (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractPeloton (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
AssumptionReplacement shirt sponsorship £67m/yr£67.0m
AssumptionReplacement sleeve sponsorship £14m/yr£14.0m
AssumptionCommercial residual £231m£231.0m
Sources: Carlsberg Group (official) · Goal.com · Kop Blog · Companies House (audited statutory accounts) · Liverpool FC (official) · Liverpool FC (official)
£533.0m£489.9m£487.4m£594.3m£593.8m£613.8m£702.7m£728.6m£726.5m£762.2m£781.9m
Matchday revenue
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationMatchday revenue 2028/29£133.4m
= (61276 seats × 98.5% utilisation) × (19 league + 2 domestic cup + 5 European home games) × £85 per attendee ÷ 1,000,000
FactStadium capacity 2028/29: 61276 seats (official, very-high)61,276 seats
AssumptionAttendance utilisation 98.5%98.5%
Assumption19 home league matches19 matches
Assumption2 domestic cup home matches2 matches
Assumption5 European home matches5 matches
AssumptionBlended matchday yield £85 per attendee85 GBP
Sources: Companies House (audited statutory accounts) · Liverpool FC (official) · Liverpool FC (official)
£84.2m£70.8m£3.6m£86.8m£79.8m£101.7m£115.6m£124.0m£124.0m£128.7m£133.4m
Media / broadcasting revenue
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationMedia / broadcasting revenue£276.5m
= domestic league central distribution + UEFA distributions + domestic cup prize money
CalculationPremier League central distribution£194.0m
= pl_total 2028/29 resolved directly: 194
AssumptionPremier League central distribution £194m£194.0m
AssumptionUEFA distribution £82m£82.0m
AssumptionDomestic cup prize money £0.5m£0.5m
£260.8m£201.6m£266.1m£260.8m£241.6m£203.7m£263.7m£277.6m£267.5m£272.5m£276.5m
Premier League distributions
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationPremier League central distribution£194.0m
= pl_total 2028/29 resolved directly: 194
AssumptionPremier League central distribution £194m£194.0m
- - - - - - - £181.8m£185.0m£190.0m£194.0m
UEFA distributions
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
AssumptionUEFA distribution £82m£82.0m
- - - - - - - £95.3m£82.0m£82.0m£82.0m
Domestic cup prize money
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
AssumptionDomestic cup prize money £0.5m£0.5m
- - - - - - - £0.5m£0.5m£0.5m£0.5m
Commercial revenue
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationCommercial revenue fy2029: 1 contracted deals + other commercial base + 2 assumed renewal(s) replacing expired agreements (5 active deal(s) with unreported value excluded)£372.0m
= Σ guaranteed annual values of 1 active deals (£60.0m) + assumed renewals (£81.0m) + other commercial base £231.0m
Contractadidas (kit-manufacturer)£60.0m
ContractAXA (training-ground) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractCarlsberg (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractUPS (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractGoogle Pixel (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractPeloton (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
AssumptionReplacement shirt sponsorship £67m/yr£67.0m
AssumptionReplacement sleeve sponsorship £14m/yr£14.0m
AssumptionCommercial residual £231m£231.0m
Sources: Carlsberg Group (official) · Goal.com · Kop Blog · Companies House (audited statutory accounts) · Liverpool FC (official) · Liverpool FC (official)
£188.0m£217.4m£217.6m£246.7m£272.5m£308.4m£323.5m£327.0m£335.0m£361.0m£372.0m
Other revenue
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
AssumptionOther revenue £0.39m£0.4m
Sources: Companies House (audited statutory accounts)
- - - - - - £12.9m£0.4m£0.4m£0.4m£0.4m
Total staff costs
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationTotal staff costs£482.0m
AssumptionStaff costs £482m£482.0m
Sources: Companies House (audited statutory accounts)
£309.9m£325.6m£314.4m£366.1m£372.9m£386.1m£427.7m£462.0m£455.0m£468.0m£482.0m
Other operating costs
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
AssumptionOther operating costs £210m£210.0m
Sources: Companies House (audited statutory accounts)
£99.6m£118.5m£96.0m£132.0m£137.4m£167.0m£185.6m£192.0m£198.0m£204.0m£210.0m
EBITDA
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationEBITDA£89.9m
= revenue − staff costs − other operating costs
CalculationTotal revenue£781.9m
= matchday + media + commercial
CalculationMatchday revenue 2028/29£133.4m
= (61276 seats × 98.5% utilisation) × (19 league + 2 domestic cup + 5 European home games) × £85 per attendee ÷ 1,000,000
FactStadium capacity 2028/29: 61276 seats (official, very-high)61,276 seats
AssumptionAttendance utilisation 98.5%98.5%
Assumption19 home league matches19 matches
Assumption2 domestic cup home matches2 matches
Assumption5 European home matches5 matches
AssumptionBlended matchday yield £85 per attendee85 GBP
CalculationMedia / broadcasting revenue£276.5m
= domestic league central distribution + UEFA distributions + domestic cup prize money
CalculationPremier League central distribution£194.0m
= pl_total 2028/29 resolved directly: 194
AssumptionPremier League central distribution £194m£194.0m
AssumptionUEFA distribution £82m£82.0m
AssumptionDomestic cup prize money £0.5m£0.5m
CalculationCommercial revenue fy2029: 1 contracted deals + other commercial base + 2 assumed renewal(s) replacing expired agreements (5 active deal(s) with unreported value excluded)£372.0m
= Σ guaranteed annual values of 1 active deals (£60.0m) + assumed renewals (£81.0m) + other commercial base £231.0m
Contractadidas (kit-manufacturer)£60.0m
ContractAXA (training-ground) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractCarlsberg (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractUPS (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractGoogle Pixel (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractPeloton (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
AssumptionReplacement shirt sponsorship £67m/yr£67.0m
AssumptionReplacement sleeve sponsorship £14m/yr£14.0m
AssumptionCommercial residual £231m£231.0m
CalculationTotal staff costs£482.0m
AssumptionStaff costs £482m£482.0m
AssumptionOther operating costs £210m£210.0m
Sources: Carlsberg Group (official) · Goal.com · Kop Blog · Companies House (audited statutory accounts) · Liverpool FC (official) · Liverpool FC (official)
£123.5m£45.7m£77.0m£96.2m£83.6m£60.6m£102.3m£74.6m£73.5m£90.2m£89.9m
Player registration amortisation
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation£150.1m
= player-level subledger + unattributed cohort run-off (filed-NBV reconciliation) + baseline future squad investment
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation (subledger)£105.3m
= straight-line amortisation of each registration over its contract (day-count)
EventAlexander Isak£21.4m
EventFlorian Wirtz£19.9m
EventHugo Ekitiké£11.6m
EventJérémy Jacquet£11.0m
EventMilos Kerkez£8.0m
EventJeremie Frimpong£5.8m
EventVíctor Muñoz£5.7m
EventDominik Szoboszlai£5.3m
EventGiorgi Mamardashvili£5.0m
EventGiovanni Leoni£4.4m
EventCody Gakpo£3.7m
EventRyan Gravenberch£2.7m
EventAlexis Mac Allister£0.6m
EventFederico Chiesa£0.2m
CalculationUnattributed registration cohort amortisation (fy2029)£19.8m
= per-year unexplained filed additions, 6.7y straight-line (mid-year convention), scaled ×0.761 to tie the anchor NBV to the filed balance exactly - an explicit reconciliation item for agent fees, capitalised add-ons and unmodelled smaller signings; aggregate only, never player-level
AssumptionResidual cohort method: 6.7-year assumed life; anchor gap £134.72m = filed £334.03m − subledger £199.31m
Calculationfy2023 unattributed cohort (£15.5m over 4.2y remaining)£3.7m
Calculationfy2024 unattributed cohort (£29.23m over 5.2y remaining)£5.6m
Calculationfy2025 unattributed cohort (£65.15m over 6.2y remaining)£10.5m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment amortisation (£25m; cohorts totalling £220m over 6.6y)£25.0m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment £110m£110.0m
£111.8m£106.0m£107.8m£102.7m£107.5m£114.5m£117.2m£152.0m£154.8m£143.9m£150.1m
Player registration impairment
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationPlayer registration impairment£0.0m
= no impairment assumed: impairments follow specific squad events (a player written down after injury or exclusion) and are not forecastable from public data. Any impairment would reduce the result below this base case
£0.5m - £0.5m£0.2m£2.1m£0.6m£0.2m£0.0m£0.0m£0.0m£0.0m
Depreciation
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
AssumptionDepreciation £16.5m£16.5m
Sources: Companies House (audited statutory accounts)
£9.4m£8.7m£8.9m£11.4m£12.1m£15.2m£14.5m£15.0m£15.5m£16.0m£16.5m
Operating profit/(loss)
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationOperating profit/(loss) excluding player trading-£76.8m
= EBITDA − player amortisation − depreciation
CalculationEBITDA£89.9m
= revenue − staff costs − other operating costs
CalculationTotal revenue£781.9m
= matchday + media + commercial
CalculationMatchday revenue 2028/29£133.4m
= (61276 seats × 98.5% utilisation) × (19 league + 2 domestic cup + 5 European home games) × £85 per attendee ÷ 1,000,000
FactStadium capacity 2028/29: 61276 seats (official, very-high)61,276 seats
AssumptionAttendance utilisation 98.5%98.5%
Assumption19 home league matches19 matches
Assumption2 domestic cup home matches2 matches
Assumption5 European home matches5 matches
AssumptionBlended matchday yield £85 per attendee85 GBP
CalculationMedia / broadcasting revenue£276.5m
= domestic league central distribution + UEFA distributions + domestic cup prize money
CalculationPremier League central distribution£194.0m
= pl_total 2028/29 resolved directly: 194
AssumptionPremier League central distribution £194m£194.0m
AssumptionUEFA distribution £82m£82.0m
AssumptionDomestic cup prize money £0.5m£0.5m
CalculationCommercial revenue fy2029: 1 contracted deals + other commercial base + 2 assumed renewal(s) replacing expired agreements (5 active deal(s) with unreported value excluded)£372.0m
= Σ guaranteed annual values of 1 active deals (£60.0m) + assumed renewals (£81.0m) + other commercial base £231.0m
Contractadidas (kit-manufacturer)£60.0m
ContractAXA (training-ground) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractCarlsberg (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractUPS (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractGoogle Pixel (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractPeloton (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
AssumptionReplacement shirt sponsorship £67m/yr£67.0m
AssumptionReplacement sleeve sponsorship £14m/yr£14.0m
AssumptionCommercial residual £231m£231.0m
CalculationTotal staff costs£482.0m
AssumptionStaff costs £482m£482.0m
AssumptionOther operating costs £210m£210.0m
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation£150.1m
= player-level subledger + unattributed cohort run-off (filed-NBV reconciliation) + baseline future squad investment
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation (subledger)£105.3m
= straight-line amortisation of each registration over its contract (day-count)
EventAlexander Isak£21.4m
EventFlorian Wirtz£19.9m
EventHugo Ekitiké£11.6m
EventJérémy Jacquet£11.0m
EventMilos Kerkez£8.0m
EventJeremie Frimpong£5.8m
EventVíctor Muñoz£5.7m
EventDominik Szoboszlai£5.3m
EventGiorgi Mamardashvili£5.0m
EventGiovanni Leoni£4.4m
EventCody Gakpo£3.7m
EventRyan Gravenberch£2.7m
EventAlexis Mac Allister£0.6m
EventFederico Chiesa£0.2m
CalculationUnattributed registration cohort amortisation (fy2029)£19.8m
= per-year unexplained filed additions, 6.7y straight-line (mid-year convention), scaled ×0.761 to tie the anchor NBV to the filed balance exactly - an explicit reconciliation item for agent fees, capitalised add-ons and unmodelled smaller signings; aggregate only, never player-level
AssumptionResidual cohort method: 6.7-year assumed life; anchor gap £134.72m = filed £334.03m − subledger £199.31m
Calculationfy2023 unattributed cohort (£15.5m over 4.2y remaining)£3.7m
Calculationfy2024 unattributed cohort (£29.23m over 5.2y remaining)£5.6m
Calculationfy2025 unattributed cohort (£65.15m over 6.2y remaining)£10.5m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment amortisation (£25m; cohorts totalling £220m over 6.6y)£25.0m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment £110m£110.0m
AssumptionDepreciation £16.5m£16.5m
£0.6m-£70.2m-£40.4m-£18.1m-£38.2m-£69.7m-£29.5m-£92.4m-£96.8m-£69.7m-£76.8m
Profit on disposal of player registrations
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationProfit on disposal of registrations£34.0m
= known transactions (subledger) + baseline assumption for windows that have not yet happened
CalculationKnown disposals (subledger: fee − NBV per player)£0.0m
= guaranteed fee − net book value at disposal, per player
AssumptionBaseline player-trading profit £34m£34.0m
Sources: Companies House (audited statutory accounts) · Companies House (audited statutory accounts) · Companies House (audited statutory accounts)
£45.3m£26.9m£39.3m£28.1m£33.8m£22.0m£53.3m£130.2m-£0.2m£34.0m£34.0m
Finance income
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
AssumptionFinance income £2.0m£2.0m
Sources: Companies House (audited statutory accounts)
£1.1m£0.7m£0.6m£0.9m£1.6m£3.2m£2.9m£2.0m£2.0m£2.0m£2.0m
Finance costs
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationFinance costs£20.6m
= interest on debt instruments + other finance charges + interest on opening revolver draws (in-year draws accrue from the following period)
CalculationFinancing fy2029: interest £4.0m, closing debt £286.9m£4.0m
= per instrument: interest = avg(opening, closing) × rate; closing debt = Σ balances after drawdowns, repayments and schedule
ContractSyndicated banks (secured revolving credit facility) (bank-loan): opening £69.0m, closing £69.0m, interest £4.0m£69.0m
ContractUKSV Holdings Company Limited (parent) (intercompany): opening £217.9m, closing £217.9m, interest £0.0m£217.9m
AssumptionOther finance charges £5.0m£5.0m
CalculationInterest on £202.97m opening revolver balance at 5.74%£11.7m
Sources: Companies House (audited statutory accounts)
£5.0m£3.7m£4.3m£3.5m£6.2m£12.6m£11.4m£9.0m£12.3m£14.4m£20.6m
Profit/(loss) before tax
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationProfit/(loss) before tax-£61.4m
= operating profit + player disposal profit + finance income − finance costs
CalculationOperating profit/(loss) excluding player trading-£76.8m
= EBITDA − player amortisation − depreciation
CalculationEBITDA£89.9m
= revenue − staff costs − other operating costs
CalculationTotal revenue£781.9m
= matchday + media + commercial
CalculationMatchday revenue 2028/29£133.4m
= (61276 seats × 98.5% utilisation) × (19 league + 2 domestic cup + 5 European home games) × £85 per attendee ÷ 1,000,000
FactStadium capacity 2028/29: 61276 seats (official, very-high)61,276 seats
AssumptionAttendance utilisation 98.5%98.5%
Assumption19 home league matches19 matches
Assumption2 domestic cup home matches2 matches
Assumption5 European home matches5 matches
AssumptionBlended matchday yield £85 per attendee85 GBP
CalculationMedia / broadcasting revenue£276.5m
= domestic league central distribution + UEFA distributions + domestic cup prize money
CalculationPremier League central distribution£194.0m
= pl_total 2028/29 resolved directly: 194
AssumptionPremier League central distribution £194m£194.0m
AssumptionUEFA distribution £82m£82.0m
AssumptionDomestic cup prize money £0.5m£0.5m
CalculationCommercial revenue fy2029: 1 contracted deals + other commercial base + 2 assumed renewal(s) replacing expired agreements (5 active deal(s) with unreported value excluded)£372.0m
= Σ guaranteed annual values of 1 active deals (£60.0m) + assumed renewals (£81.0m) + other commercial base £231.0m
Contractadidas (kit-manufacturer)£60.0m
ContractAXA (training-ground) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractCarlsberg (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractUPS (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractGoogle Pixel (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractPeloton (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
AssumptionReplacement shirt sponsorship £67m/yr£67.0m
AssumptionReplacement sleeve sponsorship £14m/yr£14.0m
AssumptionCommercial residual £231m£231.0m
CalculationTotal staff costs£482.0m
AssumptionStaff costs £482m£482.0m
AssumptionOther operating costs £210m£210.0m
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation£150.1m
= player-level subledger + unattributed cohort run-off (filed-NBV reconciliation) + baseline future squad investment
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation (subledger)£105.3m
= straight-line amortisation of each registration over its contract (day-count)
EventAlexander Isak£21.4m
EventFlorian Wirtz£19.9m
EventHugo Ekitiké£11.6m
EventJérémy Jacquet£11.0m
EventMilos Kerkez£8.0m
EventJeremie Frimpong£5.8m
EventVíctor Muñoz£5.7m
EventDominik Szoboszlai£5.3m
EventGiorgi Mamardashvili£5.0m
EventGiovanni Leoni£4.4m
EventCody Gakpo£3.7m
EventRyan Gravenberch£2.7m
EventAlexis Mac Allister£0.6m
EventFederico Chiesa£0.2m
CalculationUnattributed registration cohort amortisation (fy2029)£19.8m
= per-year unexplained filed additions, 6.7y straight-line (mid-year convention), scaled ×0.761 to tie the anchor NBV to the filed balance exactly - an explicit reconciliation item for agent fees, capitalised add-ons and unmodelled smaller signings; aggregate only, never player-level
AssumptionResidual cohort method: 6.7-year assumed life; anchor gap £134.72m = filed £334.03m − subledger £199.31m
Calculationfy2023 unattributed cohort (£15.5m over 4.2y remaining)£3.7m
Calculationfy2024 unattributed cohort (£29.23m over 5.2y remaining)£5.6m
Calculationfy2025 unattributed cohort (£65.15m over 6.2y remaining)£10.5m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment amortisation (£25m; cohorts totalling £220m over 6.6y)£25.0m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment £110m£110.0m
AssumptionDepreciation £16.5m£16.5m
CalculationProfit on disposal of registrations£34.0m
= known transactions (subledger) + baseline assumption for windows that have not yet happened
CalculationKnown disposals (subledger: fee − NBV per player)£0.0m
= guaranteed fee − net book value at disposal, per player
AssumptionBaseline player-trading profit £34m£34.0m
AssumptionFinance income £2.0m£2.0m
CalculationFinance costs£20.6m
= interest on debt instruments + other finance charges + interest on opening revolver draws (in-year draws accrue from the following period)
CalculationFinancing fy2029: interest £4.0m, closing debt £286.9m£4.0m
= per instrument: interest = avg(opening, closing) × rate; closing debt = Σ balances after drawdowns, repayments and schedule
ContractSyndicated banks (secured revolving credit facility) (bank-loan): opening £69.0m, closing £69.0m, interest £4.0m£69.0m
ContractUKSV Holdings Company Limited (parent) (intercompany): opening £217.9m, closing £217.9m, interest £0.0m£217.9m
AssumptionOther finance charges £5.0m£5.0m
CalculationInterest on £202.97m opening revolver balance at 5.74%£11.7m
£41.9m-£46.3m-£4.8m£7.5m-£9.0m-£57.1m£15.2m£30.8m-£107.3m-£48.1m-£61.4m
Tax charge/(credit)
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationTax charge/(credit)-£13.5m
= pre-tax loss £-61.36m × 22% credit-recognition rate, matching the filed pattern of deferred-tax assets recognised on losses
CalculationProfit/(loss) before tax-£61.4m
= operating profit + player disposal profit + finance income − finance costs
CalculationOperating profit/(loss) excluding player trading-£76.8m
= EBITDA − player amortisation − depreciation
CalculationEBITDA£89.9m
= revenue − staff costs − other operating costs
CalculationTotal revenue£781.9m
= matchday + media + commercial
CalculationMatchday revenue 2028/29£133.4m
= (61276 seats × 98.5% utilisation) × (19 league + 2 domestic cup + 5 European home games) × £85 per attendee ÷ 1,000,000
FactStadium capacity 2028/29: 61276 seats (official, very-high)61,276 seats
AssumptionAttendance utilisation 98.5%98.5%
Assumption19 home league matches19 matches
Assumption2 domestic cup home matches2 matches
Assumption5 European home matches5 matches
AssumptionBlended matchday yield £85 per attendee85 GBP
CalculationMedia / broadcasting revenue£276.5m
= domestic league central distribution + UEFA distributions + domestic cup prize money
CalculationPremier League central distribution£194.0m
= pl_total 2028/29 resolved directly: 194
AssumptionUEFA distribution £82m£82.0m
AssumptionDomestic cup prize money £0.5m£0.5m
CalculationCommercial revenue fy2029: 1 contracted deals + other commercial base + 2 assumed renewal(s) replacing expired agreements (5 active deal(s) with unreported value excluded)£372.0m
= Σ guaranteed annual values of 1 active deals (£60.0m) + assumed renewals (£81.0m) + other commercial base £231.0m
Contractadidas (kit-manufacturer)£60.0m
ContractAXA (training-ground) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractCarlsberg (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractUPS (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractGoogle Pixel (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractPeloton (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
AssumptionReplacement shirt sponsorship £67m/yr£67.0m
AssumptionReplacement sleeve sponsorship £14m/yr£14.0m
AssumptionCommercial residual £231m£231.0m
CalculationTotal staff costs£482.0m
AssumptionStaff costs £482m£482.0m
AssumptionOther operating costs £210m£210.0m
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation£150.1m
= player-level subledger + unattributed cohort run-off (filed-NBV reconciliation) + baseline future squad investment
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation (subledger)£105.3m
= straight-line amortisation of each registration over its contract (day-count)
EventAlexander Isak£21.4m
EventFlorian Wirtz£19.9m
EventHugo Ekitiké£11.6m
EventJérémy Jacquet£11.0m
EventMilos Kerkez£8.0m
EventJeremie Frimpong£5.8m
EventVíctor Muñoz£5.7m
EventDominik Szoboszlai£5.3m
EventGiorgi Mamardashvili£5.0m
EventGiovanni Leoni£4.4m
EventCody Gakpo£3.7m
EventRyan Gravenberch£2.7m
EventAlexis Mac Allister£0.6m
EventFederico Chiesa£0.2m
CalculationUnattributed registration cohort amortisation (fy2029)£19.8m
= per-year unexplained filed additions, 6.7y straight-line (mid-year convention), scaled ×0.761 to tie the anchor NBV to the filed balance exactly - an explicit reconciliation item for agent fees, capitalised add-ons and unmodelled smaller signings; aggregate only, never player-level
AssumptionResidual cohort method: 6.7-year assumed life; anchor gap £134.72m = filed £334.03m − subledger £199.31m
Calculationfy2023 unattributed cohort (£15.5m over 4.2y remaining)£3.7m
Calculationfy2024 unattributed cohort (£29.23m over 5.2y remaining)£5.6m
Calculationfy2025 unattributed cohort (£65.15m over 6.2y remaining)£10.5m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment amortisation (£25m; cohorts totalling £220m over 6.6y)£25.0m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment £110m£110.0m
AssumptionDepreciation £16.5m£16.5m
CalculationProfit on disposal of registrations£34.0m
= known transactions (subledger) + baseline assumption for windows that have not yet happened
CalculationKnown disposals (subledger: fee − NBV per player)£0.0m
= guaranteed fee − net book value at disposal, per player
AssumptionBaseline player-trading profit £34m£34.0m
AssumptionFinance income £2.0m£2.0m
CalculationFinance costs£20.6m
= interest on debt instruments + other finance charges + interest on opening revolver draws (in-year draws accrue from the following period)
CalculationFinancing fy2029: interest £4.0m, closing debt £286.9m£4.0m
= per instrument: interest = avg(opening, closing) × rate; closing debt = Σ balances after drawdowns, repayments and schedule
ContractSyndicated banks (secured revolving credit facility) (bank-loan): opening £69.0m, closing £69.0m, interest £4.0m£69.0m
ContractUKSV Holdings Company Limited (parent) (intercompany): opening £217.9m, closing £217.9m, interest £0.0m£217.9m
AssumptionOther finance charges £5.0m£5.0m
CalculationInterest on £202.97m opening revolver balance at 5.74%£11.7m
AssumptionDeferred-tax credit rate on losses 22%22%
£8.5m-£6.9m£4.8m£5.0m-£2.1m-£13.6m£6.9m£7.7m-£23.6m-£10.6m-£13.5m
Profit/(loss) for the year
Where this number comes from (2028/29F)
CalculationProfit/(loss) for the year-£47.9m
= PBT − tax
CalculationProfit/(loss) before tax-£61.4m
= operating profit + player disposal profit + finance income − finance costs
CalculationOperating profit/(loss) excluding player trading-£76.8m
= EBITDA − player amortisation − depreciation
CalculationEBITDA£89.9m
= revenue − staff costs − other operating costs
CalculationTotal revenue£781.9m
= matchday + media + commercial
CalculationMatchday revenue 2028/29£133.4m
= (61276 seats × 98.5% utilisation) × (19 league + 2 domestic cup + 5 European home games) × £85 per attendee ÷ 1,000,000
FactStadium capacity 2028/29: 61276 seats (official, very-high)61,276 seats
AssumptionAttendance utilisation 98.5%98.5%
Assumption19 home league matches19 matches
Assumption2 domestic cup home matches2 matches
Assumption5 European home matches5 matches
AssumptionBlended matchday yield £85 per attendee85 GBP
CalculationMedia / broadcasting revenue£276.5m
= domestic league central distribution + UEFA distributions + domestic cup prize money
CalculationPremier League central distribution£194.0m
= pl_total 2028/29 resolved directly: 194
AssumptionUEFA distribution £82m£82.0m
AssumptionDomestic cup prize money £0.5m£0.5m
CalculationCommercial revenue fy2029: 1 contracted deals + other commercial base + 2 assumed renewal(s) replacing expired agreements (5 active deal(s) with unreported value excluded)£372.0m
= Σ guaranteed annual values of 1 active deals (£60.0m) + assumed renewals (£81.0m) + other commercial base £231.0m
Contractadidas (kit-manufacturer)£60.0m
ContractAXA (training-ground) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractCarlsberg (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractUPS (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractGoogle Pixel (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
ContractPeloton (other-partner) - value not reliably reported, excluded from sum
AssumptionReplacement shirt sponsorship £67m/yr£67.0m
AssumptionReplacement sleeve sponsorship £14m/yr£14.0m
AssumptionCommercial residual £231m£231.0m
CalculationTotal staff costs£482.0m
AssumptionStaff costs £482m£482.0m
AssumptionOther operating costs £210m£210.0m
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation£150.1m
= player-level subledger + unattributed cohort run-off (filed-NBV reconciliation) + baseline future squad investment
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation (subledger)£105.3m
= straight-line amortisation of each registration over its contract (day-count)
EventAlexander Isak£21.4m
EventFlorian Wirtz£19.9m
EventHugo Ekitiké£11.6m
EventJérémy Jacquet£11.0m
EventMilos Kerkez£8.0m
EventJeremie Frimpong£5.8m
EventVíctor Muñoz£5.7m
EventDominik Szoboszlai£5.3m
EventGiorgi Mamardashvili£5.0m
EventGiovanni Leoni£4.4m
EventCody Gakpo£3.7m
EventRyan Gravenberch£2.7m
EventAlexis Mac Allister£0.6m
EventFederico Chiesa£0.2m
CalculationUnattributed registration cohort amortisation (fy2029)£19.8m
= per-year unexplained filed additions, 6.7y straight-line (mid-year convention), scaled ×0.761 to tie the anchor NBV to the filed balance exactly - an explicit reconciliation item for agent fees, capitalised add-ons and unmodelled smaller signings; aggregate only, never player-level
AssumptionResidual cohort method: 6.7-year assumed life; anchor gap £134.72m = filed £334.03m − subledger £199.31m
Calculationfy2023 unattributed cohort (£15.5m over 4.2y remaining)£3.7m
Calculationfy2024 unattributed cohort (£29.23m over 5.2y remaining)£5.6m
Calculationfy2025 unattributed cohort (£65.15m over 6.2y remaining)£10.5m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment amortisation (£25m; cohorts totalling £220m over 6.6y)£25.0m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment £110m£110.0m
AssumptionDepreciation £16.5m£16.5m
CalculationProfit on disposal of registrations£34.0m
= known transactions (subledger) + baseline assumption for windows that have not yet happened
CalculationKnown disposals (subledger: fee − NBV per player)£0.0m
= guaranteed fee − net book value at disposal, per player
AssumptionBaseline player-trading profit £34m£34.0m
AssumptionFinance income £2.0m£2.0m
CalculationFinance costs£20.6m
= interest on debt instruments + other finance charges + interest on opening revolver draws (in-year draws accrue from the following period)
CalculationFinancing fy2029: interest £4.0m, closing debt £286.9m£4.0m
= per instrument: interest = avg(opening, closing) × rate; closing debt = Σ balances after drawdowns, repayments and schedule
ContractSyndicated banks (secured revolving credit facility) (bank-loan): opening £69.0m, closing £69.0m, interest £4.0m£69.0m
ContractUKSV Holdings Company Limited (parent) (intercompany): opening £217.9m, closing £217.9m, interest £0.0m£217.9m
AssumptionOther finance charges £5.0m£5.0m
CalculationInterest on £202.97m opening revolver balance at 5.74%£11.7m
CalculationTax charge/(credit)-£13.5m
= pre-tax loss £-61.36m × 22% credit-recognition rate, matching the filed pattern of deferred-tax assets recognised on losses
CalculationProfit/(loss) before tax-£61.4m
= operating profit + player disposal profit + finance income − finance costs
CalculationOperating profit/(loss) excluding player trading-£76.8m
= EBITDA − player amortisation − depreciation
CalculationEBITDA£89.9m
= revenue − staff costs − other operating costs
CalculationTotal revenue£781.9m
= matchday + media + commercial
CalculationMatchday revenue 2028/29£133.4m
= (61276 seats × 98.5% utilisation) × (19 league + 2 domestic cup + 5 European home games) × £85 per attendee ÷ 1,000,000
CalculationMedia / broadcasting revenue£276.5m
= domestic league central distribution + UEFA distributions + domestic cup prize money
CalculationCommercial revenue fy2029: 1 contracted deals + other commercial base + 2 assumed renewal(s) replacing expired agreements (5 active deal(s) with unreported value excluded)£372.0m
= Σ guaranteed annual values of 1 active deals (£60.0m) + assumed renewals (£81.0m) + other commercial base £231.0m
CalculationTotal staff costs£482.0m
AssumptionStaff costs £482m£482.0m
AssumptionOther operating costs £210m£210.0m
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation£150.1m
= player-level subledger + unattributed cohort run-off (filed-NBV reconciliation) + baseline future squad investment
CalculationPlayer registration amortisation (subledger)£105.3m
= straight-line amortisation of each registration over its contract (day-count)
EventAlexander Isak£21.4m
EventFlorian Wirtz£19.9m
EventHugo Ekitiké£11.6m
EventJérémy Jacquet£11.0m
EventMilos Kerkez£8.0m
EventJeremie Frimpong£5.8m
EventVíctor Muñoz£5.7m
EventDominik Szoboszlai£5.3m
EventGiorgi Mamardashvili£5.0m
EventGiovanni Leoni£4.4m
EventCody Gakpo£3.7m
EventRyan Gravenberch£2.7m
EventAlexis Mac Allister£0.6m
EventFederico Chiesa£0.2m
CalculationUnattributed registration cohort amortisation (fy2029)£19.8m
= per-year unexplained filed additions, 6.7y straight-line (mid-year convention), scaled ×0.761 to tie the anchor NBV to the filed balance exactly - an explicit reconciliation item for agent fees, capitalised add-ons and unmodelled smaller signings; aggregate only, never player-level
AssumptionResidual cohort method: 6.7-year assumed life; anchor gap £134.72m = filed £334.03m − subledger £199.31m
Calculationfy2023 unattributed cohort (£15.5m over 4.2y remaining)£3.7m
Calculationfy2024 unattributed cohort (£29.23m over 5.2y remaining)£5.6m
Calculationfy2025 unattributed cohort (£65.15m over 6.2y remaining)£10.5m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment amortisation (£25m; cohorts totalling £220m over 6.6y)£25.0m
AssumptionBaseline future squad investment £110m£110.0m
AssumptionDepreciation £16.5m£16.5m
CalculationProfit on disposal of registrations£34.0m
= known transactions (subledger) + baseline assumption for windows that have not yet happened
CalculationKnown disposals (subledger: fee − NBV per player)£0.0m
= guaranteed fee − net book value at disposal, per player
AssumptionBaseline player-trading profit £34m£34.0m
AssumptionFinance income £2.0m£2.0m
CalculationFinance costs£20.6m
= interest on debt instruments + other finance charges + interest on opening revolver draws (in-year draws accrue from the following period)
CalculationFinancing fy2029: interest £4.0m, closing debt £286.9m£4.0m
= per instrument: interest = avg(opening, closing) × rate; closing debt = Σ balances after drawdowns, repayments and schedule
ContractSyndicated banks (secured revolving credit facility) (bank-loan): opening £69.0m, closing £69.0m, interest £4.0m£69.0m
ContractUKSV Holdings Company Limited (parent) (intercompany): opening £217.9m, closing £217.9m, interest £0.0m£217.9m
AssumptionOther finance charges £5.0m£5.0m
CalculationInterest on £202.97m opening revolver balance at 5.74%£11.7m
AssumptionDeferred-tax credit rate on losses 22%22%
£33.4m-£39.5m-£9.5m£2.4m-£6.9m-£43.5m£8.3m£23.1m-£83.7m-£37.5m-£47.9m
Reconciliation status
Audited periods reconcile against the filed accounts: 81 checks reconciled, none unreconciled. Estimates and forecasts are labelled and carry confidence levels - lines marked ◦ are PSRwatch analytical splits, not audited categories.
PSRwatch is independent. Figures are unofficial estimates from public filings, transfer data and PSRwatch modelling. They are not endorsed by the Premier League, EFL, UEFA or any club.