Transfer calculator
Can Arsenal afford this transfer?
This link opens with the latest financial snapshot for Arsenal already loaded.
Models the current 2026/27 Premier League season under the squad-cost rules (115% Red Threshold primary). Historical old-PSR season views are on club pages.
£5m over 5 yrs → £389m room to the Red Threshold. Edit the scenario below - every figure is an independent estimate, not an official ruling.
The result reflects this signing - use “Add to scenario” to stack more moves.
This scenario would leave Arsenal with approximately £389m of room to the 115% Red Threshold. It would reduce remaining spending room by £2m. The estimated squad-cost ratio would increase from 64.0% to 64.3%, leaving them below green.
| Contract | Before Green (85%) | Before Red (115%) |
|---|---|---|
| 3 years | £318mat £48m wages | £778mat £117m wages |
| 4 years | £385mat £58m wages | £943mat £141m wages |
| 5 years | £441mat £66m wages | £1080mat £162m wages |
The largest fee whose annual cost (fee spread over the contract, plus wages and estimated associated costs) fits inside the room. Zero means no room at that wage.
The 3 most room-efficient sales reach £52m of room for £49m of proceeds.
- Kepa Arrizabalaga · Goalkeeperin planat £4m (market value): £5m of room, -£1m book profit, £6m a year of cost saved
- Illan Meslier · Goalkeeperin planat £7m (market value): £8m of room, £7m book profit, £6m a year of cost saved
- Ezri Konsa · Centre-Backin planat £38m (market value): £38m of room, £13m book profit, £35m a year of cost saved
- Mikel Merino · Central Midfieldat £21m (market value): £19m of room, -£6m book profit, £20m a year of cost saved
- Tommy Setford · SEN · on loan elsewhereat £15m (book value, nil profit): £11m of room, £0m book profit, £11m a year of cost saved
- David Raya · Goalkeeperat £25m (market value): £18m of room, -£2m book profit, £19m a year of cost saved
- Kai Havertz · Centre-Forwardat £46m (market value): £29m of room, £38m book profit, £19m a year of cost saved
- Ben White · Right-Backat £25m (market value): £16m of room, £21m book profit, £10m a year of cost saved
Market values are specialist-database figures, not offers. Players already sold in the scenario above and loan-in players are excluded; 1 player has no market value or book value in evidence and cannot be priced.
| Season | Football income | Squad cost | Ratio | Room to Red | Lines | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026/27 | £767m £721m to £813m | £493m +£2m vs base | 64.3% +0.3 pts | +£389m +£159m to Green | 85% / 115% | Below Green UEFA 70%: +£44m |
2027/28 | £745m £701m to £790m | £493m +£2m vs base | 66.2% +0.3 pts | +£364m +£140m to Green | 85% / 115% | Below Green UEFA 70%: +£29m |
2028/29 | £745m £701m to £790m | £493m +£2m vs base | 66.2% +0.3 pts | +£364m +£140m to Green | 85% / 115% | Below Green UEFA 70%: +£29m |
Promotion is not a preset: every club here is in the Premier League, and newly promoted clubs already carry the promoted-club income floor. Base-case notes: UEFA income and the three-year player-trading average are held at the published level: the base case assumes the same European status. Use the outcome presets to change it.
This assumes transfer fees are spread over five-year contracts before wages, agent fees, bonuses and registration timing. It is a translation of room, not a recommended budget.
Revenue impact of a sale is one third of the book profit: the League counts player-sale profit through a three-year average, so the same third also lands in each of the next two seasons (see the three-season view).
| Move | Annual transfer-fee cost | Annual wages | Agent/signing costs | Annual squad-cost change | Book profit/loss | Revenue impact | Room effect | After this move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kepa Arrizabalaga | +£1m | +£1m | £0m | +£2m | £0m | £0m | £2m less room | 64.3% · Below Green £389m to Red · £159m to Green |
“After this move” is the cumulative path: the club's position once each move in the scenario has landed, in order.
Amortisation spreads a fee across the contract. A £50m signing on a five-year deal is a £10m annual cost before wages and other fees.
Room effect combines squad-cost change and football-income impact. A sale can help twice: lower costs and, if profitable, stronger football income.
Book profit or loss is sale proceeds minus remaining book value and sale costs. Academy sales often have low book value.
Owner equity is shown only for old PSR because the new squad-cost test is linked to football income, not shareholder funding.
A transfer fee is spread over the contract: a £50m fee on a five-year deal adds about £10m a year. Wages count in full each season. Annual squad cost ≈ fee ÷ contract years + wages + a small allowance for agent and bonus costs. The calculator compares that yearly cost with Arsenal's estimated football income - the 85% Green Threshold opens the levy / allowance zone; the 115% Red Threshold is the primary line, where sporting sanctions (points) begin.
Arsenal figures here are independent PSRwatch estimates, not official Premier League calculations. Read how PSRwatch builds its estimates, or the plain-English explainers on how transfer fees are spread over contracts and the Premier League squad-cost rule.