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What is the Premier League squad-cost rule? The 85% and 115% lines explained

PSRwatch · Updated 10 Jul 2026
Quick answer

The Premier League squad-cost rule compares what a club spends on its squad (wages, annual transfer-fee amortisation and agent costs) with its football income. Up to 85% is fine; overspend beyond 85% attracts a financial levy; beyond 115% a points deduction starts at 6 points plus 1 per £6.5m over. PSRwatch currently estimates Chelsea's ratio at about 130.5% — over both lines.

Levy line
85% of football income

Overspend beyond this attracts a financial levy.

Points-deduction line
115% of football income

6 points, plus 1 per £6.5m of overspend beyond it.

Highest current estimate (2026/27)
Chelsea ~130.5%

PSRwatch estimate, not an official figure.

The squad-cost rule is the Premier League's spending control for the 2026/27 era. The idea is simple: what a club spends on its squad each season is compared with the football income it earns. Spend up to 85% of income and nothing happens. Go past 85% and a financial levy is charged on the overspend. Go past 115% and it becomes a sporting problem: a six-point deduction, plus one more point for every £6.5m beyond the line.

"Squad cost" has a specific meaning. It is player and manager wages, plus the annual slice of transfer fees (called amortisation — a fee is spread across the contract rather than counted all at once), plus agent fees and similar squad costs. It is not the headline transfer spend you see in a window round-up.

Why it matters

The old profitability rules looked backwards at three years of accounts. The squad-cost rule bites in the present: every signing, sale, loan and contract changes the number now, in the season being played. That is why clubs increasingly talk about "headroom" rather than losses.

The two lines do different jobs. The 85% line is a soft ceiling — cross it and the club pays a levy on the overspend, which is painful but survivable. The 115% line is the hard one, because points deductions change league tables, European qualification and relegation battles. A club can in principle carry on spending past 85% if the owner accepts the levy; past 115% the squad itself starts paying the price.

A worked example

Take the club with the highest estimated ratio in the current PSRwatch model: Chelsea. For 2026/27, PSRwatch estimates Chelsea's squad cost at about £601m against football income of about £460m. That is a squad-cost ratio of roughly 130.5% — over both lines. These are PSRwatch estimates, not official figures.

The thresholds in pounds: 85% of Chelsea's estimated income is about £391m, and 115% is about £529m. On PSRwatch's numbers the club is roughly £71.2m beyond the 115% line, which would translate to an estimated 16-point deduction — the fixed 6 points for crossing the line, plus 1 point for each full £6.5m of overspend beyond it. The levy would apply to the estimated £209m spent above the 85% line.

For contrast, Liverpool sits at an estimated 75.6% — comfortably under 85% despite one of the biggest budgets in the league, because income is what sets the ceiling. And Manchester City shows how tight the margin can be: an estimated 85.7%, just over the levy line.

How PSRwatch uses this

Every club page on PSRwatch is built around this calculation. The site estimates each of the three cost blocks — wages, annual transfer-fee cost, agent and other squad costs — from filed accounts, provider transfer and wage data, and its own modelling, then divides by forecast football income. The result is a ratio, a status, and a "room before the limit" figure in pounds.

Because fees, contract lengths and wages are often not officially disclosed, PSRwatch labels everything as an estimate and shows its working. You can stress-test any club's position in the calculator, and the full method is set out on the methodology page.

Common misunderstandings

Related pages

Try the squad-cost calculator

Frequently asked questions

What happens between 85% and 115%?

The penalty is financial, not sporting: a levy is charged on the estimated overspend above 85% of football income. Points deductions only begin at 115%.

How is squad cost defined?

Player and manager wages, plus the annual amortisation of transfer fees (the fee spread over the contract), plus agent and similar squad-related costs.

Is this the same as PSR?

Fans still say PSR, but the old three-year loss test has been replaced by this squad-cost ratio for live monitoring. The old test still matters for historic seasons.

Can a club just pay the levy and keep spending?

Between 85% and 115%, effectively yes — the cost is financial. Past 115% the punishment becomes points, which no owner can simply pay off.

Are PSRwatch's ratios official?

No. They are independent estimates built from filed accounts, provider data and modelling. Only the Premier League sees clubs' full submissions.

Methodology

PSRwatch figures are independent estimates built from filed accounts, provider transfer and wage data, and PSRwatch modelling. They are not official Premier League, EFL or UEFA calculations. Where a fee or wage is unconfirmed we say so, and undisclosed fees are never presented as real numbers.

Sources

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PSRwatch is independent. Figures are unofficial estimates from public filings, transfer data and PSRwatch modelling. They are not endorsed by the Premier League, EFL, UEFA or any club.