Transfer calculator
Can Arsenal afford this transfer?
This link opens with the latest financial snapshot for Arsenal already loaded.
Models the current 2026/27 Premier League season under the squad-cost rules (115% Red Threshold primary). Historical old-PSR season views are on club pages.
Sale at £59m → £405m room to the Red Threshold. Edit the scenario below - every figure is an independent estimate, not an official ruling.
From the squad ledger: wage £8m-£16m (PSRwatch estimate, central £12m), book value £74m (from the reported fee), 4 seasons left to 2030-06-30. Market value £59m (specialist database).
The result reflects this sale - use “Add to scenario” to stack more moves.
This scenario would leave Arsenal with approximately £405m of room to the 115% Red Threshold. It would increase remaining spending room by £18m. The estimated squad-cost ratio would fall from 64.0% to 61.2%, leaving them below green.
| Contract | Before Green (85%) | Before Red (115%) |
|---|---|---|
| 3 years | £358mat £54m wages | £809mat £121m wages |
| 4 years | £433mat £65m wages | £981mat £147m wages |
| 5 years | £497mat £75m wages | £1124mat £169m wages |
The largest fee whose annual cost (fee spread over the contract, plus wages and estimated associated costs) fits inside the room. Zero means no room at that wage.
The 2 most room-efficient sales reach £57m of room for £45m of proceeds.
- Illan Meslier · Goalkeeperin planat £7m (market value): £12m of room, £7m book profit, £6m a year of cost saved
- Ezri Konsa · Centre-Backin planat £38m (market value): £46m of room, £13m book profit, £35m a year of cost saved
- Kepa Arrizabalaga · Goalkeeperat £4m (market value): £5m of room, -£1m book profit, £6m a year of cost saved
- Kai Havertz · Centre-Forwardat £46m (market value): £51m of room, £38m book profit, £19m a year of cost saved
- Ben White · Right-Backat £25m (market value): £28m of room, £21m book profit, £10m a year of cost saved
- Martin Ødegaard · Attacking Midfieldat £59m (market value): £59m of room, £49m book profit, £18m a year of cost saved
- Max Dowman · Right Wingerat £25m (market value): £24m of room, £23m book profit, £4m a year of cost saved
- Declan Rice · Central Midfieldat £101m (market value): £92m of room, £84m book profit, £21m a year of cost saved
Market values are specialist-database figures, not offers. Players already sold in the scenario above and loan-in players are excluded; 1 player has no market value or book value in evidence and cannot be priced.
This assumes transfer fees are spread over five-year contracts before wages, agent fees, bonuses and registration timing. It is a translation of room, not a recommended budget.
| Move | Annual transfer-fee cost | Annual wages | Agent/signing costs | Annual squad-cost change | Book profit/loss | Revenue impact | Room effect | After this move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimarães | -£18m | -£12m | £0m | -£30m | -£14m | -£14m | £18m more room | 61.2% · Below Green £405m to Red · £179m to Green |
“After this move” is the cumulative path: the club's position once each move in the scenario has landed, in order.
Amortisation spreads a fee across the contract. A £50m signing on a five-year deal is a £10m annual cost before wages and other fees.
Room effect combines squad-cost change and football-income impact. A sale can help twice: lower costs and, if profitable, stronger football income.
Book profit or loss is sale proceeds minus remaining book value and sale costs. Academy sales often have low book value.
Owner equity is shown only for old PSR because the new squad-cost test is linked to football income, not shareholder funding.
A transfer fee is spread over the contract: a £50m fee on a five-year deal adds about £10m a year. Wages count in full each season. Annual squad cost ≈ fee ÷ contract years + wages + a small allowance for agent and bonus costs. The calculator compares that yearly cost with Arsenal's estimated football income - the 85% Green Threshold opens the levy / allowance zone; the 115% Red Threshold is the primary line, where sporting sanctions (points) begin.
Arsenal figures here are independent PSRwatch estimates, not official Premier League calculations. Read how PSRwatch builds its estimates, or the plain-English explainers on how transfer fees are spread over contracts and the Premier League squad-cost rule.